Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boeser wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 46.2% vs Ek 49.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 77.2%
Defensive zone
Boeser 61.8%
Neutral zone
Boeser 68.3%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Boeser
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boeser
Ek
Last 6: Boeser 1-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
4
Boeser
Ek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Boeser
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (111)
48.1% (858)
-7.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
53.3% (272)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
47.9% (188)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Boeser is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Boeser shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Boeser
Ek
Home
41.3% (63)
49.9% (693)
Away
45.2% (62)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Boeser
Ek
P1
40.0%
47.4%
P2
51.1%
53.1%
P3
34.4%
46.3%
OT
100.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
40.5%
43.2%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |