Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 41.8% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 58.8%
Defensive zone
Boeser 50.6%
Neutral zone
Boeser 51.4%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Boeser
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Boeser
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Boeser
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (448)
41.3% (3,431)
-1.6%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
47.3% (655)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
47.4% (135)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Boeser is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Boeser shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Home / Away
Boeser
Schmaltz
Home
41.2% (245)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
39.0% (251)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Boeser
Schmaltz
P1
37.2%
41.3%
P2
42.4%
42.8%
P3
40.5%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
42.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
40.5%
40.1%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |