Scouting Report
Brock Boeser holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 46.4% vs Novak 42.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 56.3%
Defensive zone
Boeser 69.7%
Neutral zone
Boeser 67.0%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Boeser
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Boeser
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (110)
40.5% (405)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
45.5% (33)
+9.0%
On power play, Boeser has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Boeser is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Boeser shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Boeser
Novak
Home
41.3% (63)
42.0% (212)
Away
45.9% (61)
39.8% (226)
By Period
Boeser
Novak
P1
40.0%
41.7%
P2
52.2%
39.5%
P3
34.4%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
48.0%▲
41.0%
43.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Brock Boeser |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Brock Boeser |