Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. McGinn wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McGinn 41.3% vs Marner 42.7% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Marner 57.3%
Defensive zone
McGinn 50.2%
Neutral zone
McGinn 51.4%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
McGinn
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McGinn
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
38.4% (177)
41.7% (496)
-3.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
55.6% (18)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
35.4% (65)
-6.0%
On power play, McGinn has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. McGinn is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (83).
McGinn shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
McGinn
Marner
Home
29.4% (119)
38.0% (321)
Away
46.1% (115)
45.7% (258)
By Period
McGinn
Marner
P1
43.0%
38.7%
P2
34.5%
41.5%
P3
31.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McGinn
28.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%