Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Sillinger 44.5% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Nelson
Sillinger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
37.6% (101)
+13.3%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
100.0% (2)
-40.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
50.0% (8)
-6.6%
On power play, Sillinger has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Sillinger is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sillinger
Home
52.9% (654)
35.7% (56)
Away
48.9% (658)
43.6% (55)
By Period
Nelson
Sillinger
P1
48.4%
45.6%
P2
54.3%
28.6%
P3
50.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%