Brock Nelson vs Colin Blackwell
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.5%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Blackwell 47.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.9%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Nelson
Blackwell
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Nelson
Blackwell
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Blackwell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
1
Nelson
Blackwell
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
0
3
Nelson
Blackwell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
49.3% (706)
-1.4%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
63.2% (38)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
40.5% (264)
+3.3%
On power play, Blackwell has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Nelson is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (4,097).
Nelson shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (802).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blackwell
Home
50.1% (5,878)
46.0% (485)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
48.9% (523)
By Period
Nelson
Blackwell
P1
48.7%
47.3%
P2
48.6%
47.2%
P3
47.7%
48.1%
OT
45.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |