Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Zary 47.1% (+5.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Nelson
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
47.1% (136)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
31.6% (19)
+28.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zary
Home
52.9% (654)
45.6% (79)
Away
48.9% (658)
44.7% (76)
By Period
Nelson
Zary
P1
48.4%
48.3%
P2
54.3%
46.3%
P3
50.5%
39.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%