Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Lazar 58.1% (-10.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Nelson
Lazar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
63.5% (181)
-12.6%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
0.0% (1)
+59.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
56.3% (71)
-12.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lazar
Home
52.9% (654)
63.0% (135)
Away
48.9% (658)
59.3% (118)
By Period
Nelson
Lazar
P1
48.4%
64.6%
P2
54.3%
60.0%
P3
50.5%
59.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
67.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%