Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Kampf 52.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.7%
Defensive zone
Kampf 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kampf 57.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Nelson
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Nelson
Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Kampf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
0
1
Nelson
Kampf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
54.2% (450)
-3.3%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
25.0% (8)
+34.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
46.9% (81)
-3.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Kampf is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kampf
Home
52.9% (654)
57.3% (262)
Away
48.9% (658)
48.4% (277)
By Period
Nelson
Kampf
P1
48.4%
52.4%
P2
54.3%
54.7%
P3
50.5%
49.4%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |