Brock Nelson vs Derick Brassard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 49.1%). Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Brassard 49.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 34-23 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Nelson
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
23
(57 meetings)
34
23
Nelson
Brassard
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
11
9
Nelson
Brassard
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
12
5
Nelson
Brassard
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
11
9
Nelson
Brassard
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
48.7% (8,464)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
52.3% (1,260)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
50.3% (179)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
Nelson
Brassard
Home
50.1% (5,878)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Nelson
Brassard
P1
48.7%
49.0%
P2
48.6%
49.8%
P3
47.7%
48.4%
OT
45.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |