Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Chytil 49.5% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Chytil 51.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Nelson
Chytil
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
48.2% (114)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
62.5% (8)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Chytil is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chytil
Home
52.9% (654)
54.8% (73)
Away
48.9% (658)
40.8% (49)
By Period
Nelson
Chytil
P1
48.4%
43.1%
P2
54.3%
59.5%
P3
50.5%
40.7%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.2%