Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.5%). Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 62.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 54.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Nelson
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Nelson
Nielsen
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
7
3
Nelson
Nielsen
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
4
Nelson
Nielsen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
7
Nelson
Nielsen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
49.3% (7,608)
-1.4%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
54.7% (594)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
41.7% (1,420)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nielsen
Home
50.1% (5,878)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Nelson
Nielsen
P1
48.7%
49.7%
P2
48.6%
47.6%
P3
47.7%
48.2%
OT
45.6%
46.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |