Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Eichel 48.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 80.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 72.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Eichel
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
48.2% (909)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
55.2% (67)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
41.2% (97)
+2.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
52.9% (654)
48.0% (564)
Away
48.9% (658)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
48.4%
49.8%
P2
54.3%
48.6%
P3
50.5%
46.7%
OT
41.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |