Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (66% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Eichel 45.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 50-35 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 77.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 73.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
35
(85 meetings)
50
35
Nelson
Eichel
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
17
19
Nelson
Eichel
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
12
5
Nelson
Eichel
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
21
11
Nelson
Eichel
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
44.8% (8,513)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
52.7% (929)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
37.8% (550)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (4,097).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
50.1% (5,878)
45.8% (4,954)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
44.5% (5,038)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
48.7%
45.5%
P2
48.6%
45.8%
P3
47.7%
44.1%
OT
45.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |