Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McCann 46.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 73.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Nelson
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
McCann
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
43.4% (106)
+5.1%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
42.9% (21)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
50.0% (2)
+7.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
55.0% (362)
43.3% (60)
Away
43.5% (345)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
49.3%
42.5%
P2
53.6%
40.4%
P3
46.0%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |