Brock Nelson vs Jared McCann

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.0%).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 50.8% vs McCann 50.0% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone McCann 54.1%
Defensive zone Nelson 77.5%
Neutral zone Nelson 57.2%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Nelson McCann
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
44.4% (18)
+6.5%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
100.0% (2)
-40.2%
On power play, McCann has a +40.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
52.9% (654)
53.8% (13)
Away
48.9% (658)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
54.3%
33.3%
P3
50.5%
75.0%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
50.9%
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%