Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Kulich 44.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kulich 50.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Nelson
Kulich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Kulich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
0
1
Nelson
Kulich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kulich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kulich
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
42.9% (147)
+8.0%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
33.3% (15)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
0.0% (1)
+43.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulich shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Kulich is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kulich
Home
52.9% (654)
43.9% (98)
Away
48.9% (658)
38.5% (65)
By Period
Nelson
Kulich
P1
48.4%
53.1%
P2
54.3%
40.4%
P3
50.5%
33.9%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |