Brock Nelson vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.8%). Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Ek 47.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 35-32 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 51.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nelson
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
32
(67 meetings)
35
32
Nelson
Ek
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
13
13
Nelson
Ek
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
14
9
Nelson
Ek
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
8
10
Nelson
Ek
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
47.5% (6,717)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
55.1% (1,500)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
40.3% (1,176)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,137).
Home / Away
Nelson
Ek
Home
50.1% (5,878)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
47.0% (4,749)
By Period
Nelson
Ek
P1
48.7%
46.8%
P2
48.6%
49.5%
P3
47.7%
46.7%
OT
45.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | OT | 03:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |