Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Hayes 42.7% (+15.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Nelson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
31.9% (91)
+19.0%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
64.3% (14)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
0.0% (1)
+43.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hayes
Home
52.9% (654)
30.6% (49)
Away
48.9% (658)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Nelson
Hayes
P1
48.4%
22.9%
P2
54.3%
40.0%
P3
50.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%