Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Dach 45.1% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Nelson
Dach
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
39.8% (108)
+11.1%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
57.1% (7)
+2.7%
On even strength, Nelson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dach
Home
52.9% (654)
43.1% (72)
Away
48.9% (658)
37.2% (43)
By Period
Nelson
Dach
P1
48.4%
37.8%
P2
54.3%
41.7%
P3
50.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%