Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 69.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 52.2%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Nelson
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nelson
Brodziak
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
4
Nelson
Brodziak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
50.5% (6,432)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
52.8% (326)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
45.5% (1,344)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Nelson is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (4,097).
Nelson shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Nelson
Brodziak
Home
50.1% (5,878)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Nelson
Brodziak
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
48.6%
50.7%
P3
47.7%
49.5%
OT
45.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |