Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Eller 55.0% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Nelson
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
56.0% (459)
-5.1%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
77.8% (9)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
51.9% (54)
-8.5%
On power play, Eller has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eller
Home
52.9% (654)
52.6% (215)
Away
48.9% (658)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Nelson
Eller
P1
48.4%
54.1%
P2
54.3%
57.6%
P3
50.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%