Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Reichel 44.2% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 87.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 91.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 88.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Nelson
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Nelson
Reichel
Last 7: Nelson 6-1 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Reichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Reichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Reichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
39.7% (116)
+11.2%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
0.0% (1)
+59.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Reichel is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Nelson
Reichel
Home
52.9% (654)
35.2% (71)
Away
48.9% (658)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Nelson
Reichel
P1
48.4%
56.8%
P2
54.3%
33.3%
P3
50.5%
29.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |