Brock Nelson vs Martin St. Louis
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Louis 43.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Louis 72.9%
Defensive zone
Louis 52.0%
Neutral zone
Louis 53.4%
Result
Martin St. Louis favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Nelson
Louis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Louis
Last 5: Nelson 2-3 Louis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Louis
0
1
Nelson
Louis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Louis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Louis
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
43.1% (415)
+4.8%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
33.3% (42)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
31.6% (19)
+12.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Louis shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Louis is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Nelson
Louis
Home
50.1% (5,878)
45.0% (262)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
37.7% (215)
By Period
Nelson
Louis
P1
48.7%
45.2%
P2
48.6%
40.6%
P3
47.7%
39.3%
OT
45.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Louis
44.0%▲
42.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Martin St. Louis |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Martin St. Louis |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Martin St. Louis |