Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Domi 50.6% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Nelson
Domi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
49.8% (297)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
60.0% (30)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Nelson
Domi
Home
52.9% (654)
51.1% (184)
Away
48.9% (658)
50.3% (143)
By Period
Nelson
Domi
P1
48.4%
45.9%
P2
54.3%
51.8%
P3
50.5%
55.1%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%