Scouting Report
Max McCormick holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs McCormick 50.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCormick 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Nelson
McCormick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
McCormick
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 McCormick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
McCormick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
3
Nelson
McCormick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
52.5% (122)
-4.6%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
0.0% (1)
+54.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
40.0% (5)
+3.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. McCormick is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCormick
Home
50.1% (5,878)
45.8% (72)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
58.9% (56)
By Period
Nelson
McCormick
P1
48.7%
50.0%
P2
48.6%
51.1%
P3
47.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
McCormick
54.0%▲
51.6%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Max McCormick |