Brock Nelson vs Michael Sgarbossa
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Sgarbossa 45.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sgarbossa 50.2%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 56.2%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 54.8%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Sgarbossa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
0
2
Nelson
Sgarbossa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
0
1
Nelson
Sgarbossa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Sgarbossa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
45.1% (588)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
52.2% (23)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
40.0% (5)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sgarbossa shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Sgarbossa is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Home
50.1% (5,878)
42.5% (320)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
48.3% (296)
By Period
Nelson
Sgarbossa
P1
48.7%
45.0%
P2
48.6%
47.1%
P3
47.7%
43.9%
OT
45.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |