Brock Nelson vs Nino Niederreiter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Niederreiter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Niederreiter 46.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Niederreiter 78.1%
Defensive zone
Niederreiter 55.7%
Neutral zone
Niederreiter 68.9%
Result
Nino Niederreiter favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Nelson
Niederreiter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nelson
Niederreiter
Last 6: Nelson 1-5 Niederreiter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Niederreiter
0
4
Nelson
Niederreiter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Niederreiter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Niederreiter
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
45.6% (237)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
43.8% (96)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
0.0% (2)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Niederreiter shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Niederreiter is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Nelson
Niederreiter
Home
50.1% (5,878)
45.4% (194)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
44.0% (141)
By Period
Nelson
Niederreiter
P1
48.7%
44.0%
P2
48.6%
41.4%
P3
47.7%
49.4%
OT
45.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Niederreiter
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Nino Niederreiter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nino Niederreiter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Nino Niederreiter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nino Niederreiter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nino Niederreiter |