Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.9%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.7% vs Laba 50.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Nelson
Laba
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nelson
Laba
Last 5: Nelson 3-2 Laba
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Laba
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laba
0
1
Nelson
Laba
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Laba
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laba
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (917)
51.0% (522)
-0.2%
Power Play
59.1% (176)
47.6% (21)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (204)
51.4% (37)
-8.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laba shoots right. Nelson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Nelson shoots left. Laba is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laba
Home
52.6% (639)
50.4% (276)
Away
48.9% (658)
51.3% (304)
By Period
Nelson
Laba
P1
48.3%
55.7%
P2
54.0%
46.3%
P3
50.4%
50.3%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
54.0%▼
55.5%
50.7%
Laba
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 01:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Noah Laba |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |