Scouting Report
Noah Laba holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Laba 50.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.5%
Defensive zone
Laba 60.0%
Neutral zone
Laba 52.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Nelson
Laba
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nelson
Laba
Last 5: Nelson 3-2 Laba
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Laba
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laba
0
1
Nelson
Laba
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Laba
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laba
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
51.0% (522)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
47.6% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
51.4% (37)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Laba has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laba shoots right. Nelson is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (4,097).
Nelson shoots left. Laba is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laba
Home
50.1% (5,878)
50.4% (276)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
51.3% (304)
By Period
Nelson
Laba
P1
48.7%
55.7%
P2
48.6%
46.3%
P3
47.7%
50.3%
OT
45.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Laba
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 01:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Noah Laba |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |