Brock Nelson vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Dubois 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Nelson
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Nelson
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
44.8% (259)
+6.1%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
70.6% (34)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
75.0% (8)
-31.6%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dubois
Home
52.9% (654)
46.6% (163)
Away
48.9% (658)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Nelson
Dubois
P1
48.4%
44.0%
P2
54.3%
51.5%
P3
50.5%
49.5%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |