Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Suter 48.3% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.9%
Defensive zone
Suter 51.5%
Neutral zone
Suter 52.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Nelson
Suter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
49.7% (372)
+1.2%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
47.4% (19)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
39.8% (83)
+3.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Nelson
Suter
Home
52.9% (654)
47.1% (242)
Away
48.9% (658)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Nelson
Suter
P1
48.4%
48.2%
P2
54.3%
47.7%
P3
50.5%
48.8%
OT
41.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%