Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Faksa 53.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.5%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Nelson
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Nelson
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
56.4% (289)
-5.5%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
0.0% (2)
+59.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
49.2% (126)
-5.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Nelson
Faksa
Home
52.9% (654)
54.9% (182)
Away
48.9% (658)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Nelson
Faksa
P1
48.4%
61.1%
P2
54.3%
51.3%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |