Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Nash 50.0% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 63.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Nelson
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
50.0% (4)
-3.9%
On even strength, Nash has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Nash is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (3).
By Period
Nelson
Nash
P1
44.6%
50.0%
P3
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
45.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.0%