Scouting Report
Robby Fabbri holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Fabbri 50.9% (-15.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Nelson
Fabbri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
60.0% (5)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
100.0% (1)
-56.6%
On penalty kill, Fabbri has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Fabbri is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Nelson
Fabbri
Home
52.9% (654)
60.0% (5)
Away
48.9% (658)
100.0% (1)
By Period
Nelson
Fabbri
P1
48.4%
60.0%
P2
54.3%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
66.7%