Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Grimaldi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.1% vs Grimaldi 46.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 68.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Nelson
Grimaldi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Grimaldi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Grimaldi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Grimaldi
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (9,510)
43.0% (142)
+4.8%
Power Play
54.1% (1,082)
33.3% (3)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (728)
100.0% (2)
-56.5%
On penalty kill, Grimaldi has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grimaldi shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,964).
Nelson shoots left. Grimaldi is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Nelson
Grimaldi
Home
49.8% (5,696)
43.2% (44)
Away
46.4% (5,625)
43.7% (103)
By Period
Nelson
Grimaldi
P1
48.6%
48.1%
P2
48.4%
38.8%
P3
47.4%
44.4%
OT
46.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
63.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
48.1%
Grimaldi
46.0%▲
43.5%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |