Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Hintz 58.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 77.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 74.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Nelson
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nelson
Hintz
Last 9: Nelson 2-7 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
4
Nelson
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
Nelson
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
58.7% (530)
-7.8%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
59.4% (170)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
66.7% (27)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hintz
Home
52.9% (654)
60.2% (354)
Away
48.9% (658)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Nelson
Hintz
P1
48.4%
58.4%
P2
54.3%
59.8%
P3
50.5%
58.2%
OT
41.2%
81.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |