Brock Nelson vs Rourke Chartier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Chartier 50.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.8%
Defensive zone
Chartier 57.8%
Neutral zone
Chartier 52.3%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Nelson
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Chartier
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Nelson
Chartier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Chartier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Chartier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
50.8% (329)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
66.7% (6)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
45.6% (79)
-1.8%
On power play, Chartier has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Nelson
Chartier
Home
50.1% (5,878)
48.3% (240)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Nelson
Chartier
P1
48.7%
51.5%
P2
48.6%
48.1%
P3
47.7%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |