Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Nelson
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
50.0% (46)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lafferty
Home
52.9% (654)
47.8% (23)
Away
48.9% (658)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Nelson
Lafferty
P1
48.4%
53.3%
P2
54.3%
55.6%
P3
50.5%
42.9%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%