Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Steel 50.6% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Nelson
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
52.5% (200)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
71.4% (7)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
40.0% (45)
+3.4%
On power play, Steel has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Nelson
Steel
Home
52.9% (654)
49.5% (109)
Away
48.9% (658)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Nelson
Steel
P1
48.4%
49.5%
P2
54.3%
47.5%
P3
50.5%
56.6%
OT
41.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%