Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Stützle 52.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 68.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 70.7%
Neutral zone
Stützle 51.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nelson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
52.7% (501)
-1.8%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
54.2% (59)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
56.3% (32)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Nelson
Stützle
Home
52.9% (654)
51.9% (285)
Away
48.9% (658)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Nelson
Stützle
P1
48.4%
51.6%
P2
54.3%
55.4%
P3
50.5%
52.2%
OT
41.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |