Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.7% vs Washe 54.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Washe 62.5%
Neutral zone
Washe 51.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Nelson
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Washe
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Washe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
1
2
Nelson
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Nelson
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (917)
59.2% (250)
-8.4%
Power Play
59.1% (176)
100.0% (3)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (204)
41.8% (55)
+1.3%
On power play, Washe has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Nelson is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Nelson shoots left. Washe is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Nelson
Washe
Home
52.6% (639)
62.0% (129)
Away
48.9% (658)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Nelson
Washe
P1
48.3%
57.7%
P2
54.0%
60.4%
P3
50.4%
53.4%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
54.0%▼
55.5%
50.7%
Washe
50.0%▼
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |