Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Washe 54.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 76.7%
Defensive zone
Washe 68.4%
Neutral zone
Washe 51.4%
Result
Tim Washe favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Nelson
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Washe
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Washe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
1
2
Nelson
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Nelson
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
59.2% (272)
-11.3%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
100.0% (3)
-45.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
40.4% (57)
+3.4%
On power play, Washe has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Washe is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Nelson
Washe
Home
50.1% (5,878)
61.4% (145)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
52.4% (187)
By Period
Nelson
Washe
P1
48.7%
57.7%
P2
48.6%
58.3%
P3
47.7%
54.3%
OT
45.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Washe
56.0%▬
55.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |