Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Coyle 48.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Little leads 30-29 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 59.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.6%
Neutral zone
Little 52.3%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Little
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
29
(59 meetings)
30
29
Little
Coyle
Last 10: Little 5-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
11
Little
Coyle
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
12
8
Little
Coyle
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
11
10
Little
Coyle
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
49.4% (7,898)
+1.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
50.0% (794)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
43.5% (1,100)
+0.0%
On power play, Little has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Home / Away
Little
Coyle
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Little
Coyle
P1
50.9%
49.5%
P2
49.6%
48.3%
P3
51.5%
48.8%
OT
49.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Bryan Little |