Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.1%). Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Little leads 59-49 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Little
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
49
(108 meetings)
59
49
Little
Stamkos
Last 10: Little 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
17
18
Little
Stamkos
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
18
15
Little
Stamkos
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
24
16
Little
Stamkos
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
55.2% (1,729)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
49.6% (827)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Little
Stamkos
Home
52.9% (5,664)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Little
Stamkos
P1
50.9%
49.2%
P2
49.6%
52.7%
P3
51.5%
50.9%
OT
49.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 23, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | OT | 04:52 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | OT | 01:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |