Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.7%). Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Hayes 47.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Froese leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.8%
Defensive zone
Froese 73.5%
Neutral zone
Froese 55.8%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Froese
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Froese
Hayes
Last 10: Froese 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
1
Froese
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
0
Froese
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Froese
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
47.6% (6,698)
+1.7%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
51.7% (702)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
45.4% (696)
-1.8%
On power play, Hayes has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Home / Away
Froese
Hayes
Home
50.0% (582)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
46.1% (657)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Froese
Hayes
P1
45.5%
47.5%
P2
47.5%
47.7%
P3
50.8%
47.9%
OT
80.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |