Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.6%). Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs MacLean 47.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 66.4%
Defensive zone
Froese 71.7%
Neutral zone
MacLean 51.0%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Froese
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Froese
MacLean
Last 7: Froese 4-3 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
3
Froese
MacLean
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
47.2% (852)
+2.1%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
62.5% (8)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
56.7% (30)
-13.1%
On power play, MacLean has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. MacLean is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Froese
MacLean
Home
50.0% (582)
46.9% (429)
Away
46.1% (657)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Froese
MacLean
P1
45.5%
46.4%
P2
47.5%
49.7%
P3
50.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Byron Froese |