Byron Froese vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Byron Froese holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Froese 48.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 71.5%
Defensive zone Froese 74.3%
Neutral zone Froese 54.1%
Result Byron Froese favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Froese MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Froese MacKinnon
Last 9: Froese 5-4 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Froese MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
4
2
Froese MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese MacKinnon
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Froese
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
46.1% (11,264)
+3.2%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
53.2% (1,421)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
42.8% (502)
+0.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Froese shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Froese
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (582)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
46.1% (657)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Froese
MacKinnon
P1
45.5%
47.4%
P2
47.5%
46.6%
P3
50.8%
46.1%
OT
80.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%
52.5%
47.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%
50.5%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 2, 2023 3 10:44 Neutral Byron Froese
Jan 23, 2018 3 06:09 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 23, 2018 2 09:12 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 22, 2016 2 16:14 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2015 3 12:02 Defensive Byron Froese
Dec 21, 2015 2 16:28 Defensive Byron Froese
Nov 17, 2015 3 06:25 Defensive Byron Froese
Nov 17, 2015 2 17:28 Defensive Byron Froese
Nov 17, 2015 1 11:13 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon