Cal O'Reilly vs Marcus Johansson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Johansson 41.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 79.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.6%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
O'Reilly
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
O'Reilly
Johansson
Last 8: O'Reilly 5-3 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Johansson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Johansson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Johansson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
41.0% (2,521)
+5.5%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
42.5% (351)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
36.3% (80)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Johansson
Home
50.6% (480)
42.7% (1,458)
Away
43.2% (465)
39.5% (1,518)
By Period
O'Reilly
Johansson
P1
47.1%
42.8%
P2
46.7%
40.4%
P3
46.8%
40.5%
OT
54.5%
28.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |