Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.3%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 58.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.7%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
1
O'Reilly
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
0
O'Reilly
Jokinen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
3
O'Reilly
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
45.8% (3,924)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
50.8% (585)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.9% (247)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Home
50.6% (480)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
43.2% (465)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
O'Reilly
Jokinen
P1
47.1%
45.6%
P2
46.7%
47.5%
P3
46.8%
45.4%
OT
54.5%
56.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |